Net exports oil & gas from exporter nation
Saudi GRAPHS on
TOD 2012 December 3rd TOD drumbeat
clifman on December 3, 2012 - 6:26pm
A good
spot to point out the very good info that lives at mazamascience. Both the
energy export databrowser, and population databrowser. Spending some time there
looking at graphs should open anyone's eyes, I'd think. Egypt is a poster child
for problems. Growing pop and shrinking oil exports- what would one expect to
happen? And KSA - at the time of the 'first energy crisis', they had about 6
million people. Now 4x that. Ya think they're gonna be using more of their own
juice? Population - up. Energy demand - up. Food needed - up. Soil - not up.
Water - not up. Net energy - not up. Net exports - not up. This is not a
difficult to see problem...
![[-]](file:///C:\Users\phil\AppData\Local\Temp\msohtmlclip1\01\clip_image001.gif)
I've yet
to see any definite numbers on just how much solar and nuclear KSA is planning
to bring on line in the next decade--it seems stay tuned has been the message
on that for a couple years now.
The above
levelling isn't quite as benign as it looks. Saudi Arabia's population is still
increasing at near 600,000 a year as the line exits the chart.
![[-]](file:///C:\Users\phil\AppData\Local\Temp\msohtmlclip1\01\clip_image001.gif)
According
to EIA, oil consumption in Saudi Arabia rose by 26% (or 615,000 b/d) in 2011
from 2010:
...and
gas consumption rose by 13%:
![[-]](file:///C:\Users\phil\AppData\Local\Temp\msohtmlclip1\01\clip_image001.gif)
Yeah, and
though their crude only production was up by over 1 million barrels per day
2010 to 2011, from 8,211,000 bp/d to 9,273,000 bp/d, their net exports hardly
moved at all. They went from 8,149,709 to 8,167,020 bp/d. So while crude only
production was up 1,062,000 barrels per day their exports (net all liquids)
were up a mere 17,311 barrels per day.
And
incidentally total net exports are down almost 1 million barrels per day since
they peaked in 2005. To be exact net exports are down 965,644 barrels per day
since they peaked at 9,132,664 barrels per day in 2005. Well that is their peak
in this century. Their net exports peaked, for all time, in 1980 at 9,675,000
barrels per day.
Peak oil,
for all importing nations, was in 2005.
Ron P.