Tuesday 4 December 2012

SAUDI PEAK EXPORTS OIL & GAS



Net exports oil & gas from exporter nation Saudi GRAPHS on TOD 2012 December 3rd TOD drumbeat

clifman on December 3, 2012 - 6:26pm
A good spot to point out the very good info that lives at mazamascience. Both the energy export databrowser, and population databrowser. Spending some time there looking at graphs should open anyone's eyes, I'd think. Egypt is a poster child for problems. Growing pop and shrinking oil exports- what would one expect to happen? And KSA - at the time of the 'first energy crisis', they had about 6 million people. Now 4x that. Ya think they're gonna be using more of their own juice? Population - up. Energy demand - up. Food needed - up. Soil - not up. Water - not up. Net energy - not up. Net exports - not up. This is not a difficult to see problem...

[-]Luke H on December 4, 2012 - 1:36am
I've yet to see any definite numbers on just how much solar and nuclear KSA is planning to bring on line in the next decade--it seems stay tuned has been the message on that for a couple years now.
The above levelling isn't quite as benign as it looks. Saudi Arabia's population is still increasing at near 600,000 a year as the line exits the chart.

[-]Pollux on December 3, 2012 - 7:36pm
According to EIA, oil consumption in Saudi Arabia rose by 26% (or 615,000 b/d) in 2011 from 2010:
...and gas consumption rose by 13%:
 

 



[-]Darwinian on December 3, 2012 - 8:
Yeah, and though their crude only production was up by over 1 million barrels per day 2010 to 2011, from 8,211,000 bp/d to 9,273,000 bp/d, their net exports hardly moved at all. They went from 8,149,709 to 8,167,020 bp/d. So while crude only production was up 1,062,000 barrels per day their exports (net all liquids) were up a mere 17,311 barrels per day.
 

And incidentally total net exports are down almost 1 million barrels per day since they peaked in 2005. To be exact net exports are down 965,644 barrels per day since they peaked at 9,132,664 barrels per day in 2005. Well that is their peak in this century. Their net exports peaked, for all time, in 1980 at 9,675,000 barrels per day.
Peak oil, for all importing nations, was in 2005.
Ron P.